Tracking the Chinese Stock Markets

Tuesday, Aug. 4th 2015

China and its stock markets often make the financial news headlines. From blistering performance at the start of 2015, to vertiginous corrections in the latter months, the Chinese markets have given more than one investor cause to down a few antacid pills. Actively tracking the Chinese stock markets, from the mainland China Indexes to their ETF counterparts, can help you get a better grip on their workings and lead to a positive investment experience.

Tracking the Chinese Stock Markets

Blistering Performance

From the start of 2015 till mid June 2015, the mainland China CSI 300 Index, composed of the 300 largest stocks on the Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges, increased 50%. Going back 12 months to June 2014 through mid June 2015, the performance of the CSI 300 was even better, topping out at an over 125% increase. A broader mainland index, the SSE Composite Index, composed of all stocks that trade on the Shanghai exchange, increased over 150% in the same 12 months through mid June 2015.

The main Hong Kong index, the Hang Seng Index, was more subdued. This index of the 48 largest companies on the Hong Kong exchange, only increased 20% over the first 5 months of 2015. The Taiwan Capitalization Weighted Stock Index (TAIEX) increased a miserly 5% over those same first 5 months of 2015.

The powerful advance of the mainland indexes has been fuelled mainly by individual investors. By some counts, over 80% of the transactions in Chinese stocks are produced by these retail investors. And over the last 2 years, the percentage of young investors has skyrocketed. In the last 12 months, more than half of the new investment accounts that were opened in China were opened by someone under 30 years old. It’s no wonder then that the market volatility has also subsequently increased.

Chinese regulators have recently stepped in to try to manage the volatility. Limiting margin investing (i.e. borrowing cash to invest in the markets) has been one of their main tools. Until recently however, young investors were able to get around some of these limitations by using social media and peer-to-peer lending to borrow more investment funds instead.

Vertiginuous Corrections

July 2015 has seen a number of gut-wrenching drops in the mainland indexes. On July 27, 2015 alone, the CSI 300 Index dropped over 8%, its largest one-day drop in years. Other sell-offs happened throughout the month of July, with follow up bounces and subsequent further drops.

On June 24th, 2015, the CSI 300 entered bear market territory (a drop of 20% or more) from the peak earlier that month.

Whether the Chinese mainland markets can recover their high-flying ways, or crash and burn al-la 1929 New York style, or even whether the Chinese regulators manage to bring serenity to the markets, is anyone’s guess.

Tracking the Chinese Stock Market Indexes

Whether you’re a Chinese market bull or bear, to make intelligent, informed decisions on what to invest in, you’ll first need to start tracking the ups and downs of the Chinese stock markets.

  • CSI 300 Index – As a starting point, you’ll want to track the mainland China CSI 300 Index. This index is composed of the 300 largest “A”-stocks that trade on the Shanghai and Shenzen exchanges. It is the most commonly referred to Chinese index. At Yahoo Finance, the ticker symbol is 000300.SS. At Google Finance, the ticker symbol is SHA:000300.
  • SSE Composite Index – It’s also useful to track the broader mainland China index, the SSE Composite Index. This index is composed of all stocks (both “A”-stocks and “B”-stocks) that trade on the Shanghai exchange (about 870 stocks, currently). You can see it at Yahoo Finance as 000001.SS or at Google Finance as SHA:000001.
  • SZSE Component Index – Additionally, there’s the SZSE Component Index, composed of 40 stocks that trade on the Shenzhen stock exchange. At Yahoo Finance its ticker symbol is 399001.SZ and at Google Finance its ticker symbol is SHE:399001.
  • Hang Seng Index – Another useful index is the Hang Seng Index, Hong Kong’s main index of the 48 largest stocks that trade on their exchange (Yahoo: ^HSI; Google: INDEXHANGSENG:HSI).
  • TAIEX – The Taiwan Capitalization Weighted Stock Index (abbreviated TAIEX) covers all listed stocks on the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE) (Yahoo: TAIEX; Google: TPI:TAIEX).

Chinese Market ETFs

Once you’ve done a bit of homework and have a better feel for how and where this sort of investment could fit into your portfolio, you’ll need to take a look at some of the actual investment instruments that you can put your money into.

As a non-Chinese person, you won’t be able to invest directly in individual stocks. However, there are a number of ETFs that can expose you to various elements of the Chinese market.

  • iShares China Large-Cap ETF (Yahoo: FXI; Google:NYSEARCA:FXI) – As the most heavily traded Chinese share ETF (20 million shares traded daily), it invests in the 25 largest Chinese stocks that trade on the Hong Kong exchange as it tries to replicate the FTSE China 25 Index.
  • Deutsche X-Trackers Harvest CSI 300 China A-Shares ETF (Yahoo: ASHR; Google:NYSEARCA:ASHR) – This highly liquid ETF (over 3 million shares traded daily) aims to replicate the CSI 300 Index. This index tracks the 300 largest, most liquid stocks that trade on the Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges. Comparing its chart to that of the CSI 300 Index shows that they trade very closely to one another.
  • Market Vectors ChinaAMC SME-ChiNext ETF (Yahoo: CNXT; Google:NYSEARCA:CNXT) – Less widely traded (200K shares traded daily) this ETF looks to replicate SME-ChiNext 100 Index. This index is composed of 100 small and medium sized stocks that trade on the SME (Small and Medium Enterprise) Board and the ChiNext (fast-growing and technology heavy stocks) Board of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.
  • iShares MSCI China ETF (Yahoo: MCHI; Google:NYSEARCA:MCHI) – Another liquid ETF (over 1 million shares traded daily) with over $2 billion in assets, it aims to replicate the MSCI China Index, which tracks the performance of large cap Chinese equities.
  • SPDR S&P China ETF (Yahoo: GXC; Google:NYSEARCA:GXC) – Less widely traded (200K shares traded daily), but with a low expense ratio and over $1 billion in assets, this ETF tracks the S&P China BMI Index. The S&P China BMI Index encompasses the stocks of all publicly traded companies, domiciled in China, but whose shares are available to trade by foreign investors.

Short Term Investing with Chinese Market ETFs

If you’re more of a short term trader (swing-trader or day trader), there are a number of ways to play the Chinese market volatility using leveraged and inverse ETFs.

  • ProShares Ultra FTSE China 50 (Yahoo: XPP; Google:NYSEARCA:XPP) – A leveraged ETF that aims to provide returns that are twice (2x) the daily performance of the FTSE China 50 Index. This index tracks the performance of the largest companies in the Chinese equity market that are available to international investors.
  • ProShares Short FTSE China 50 (Yahoo: YXI; Google:NYSEARCA:YXI) – An inverse ETF that aims to provide returns that are the inverse (-1x) of the daily performance of the FTSE China 50 Index.
  • ProShares Ultrashort FTSE China 50 (Yahoo: FXP; Google:NYSEARCA:FXP) – A leveraged inverse ETF that aims to provide returns that are the twice the inverse (-2x) of the daily performance of the FTSE China 50 Index.
  • Direxion Daily FTSE China Bull 3X ETF (Yahoo: YINN; Google:NYSEARCA:YINN) – Aims to provide returns that are three times (3x) the daily performance of the FTSE China 50 Index.
  • Direxion Daily FTSE China Bear 3X ETF (Yahoo: YANG; Google:NYSEARCA:YANG) – A leveraged, inverse ETF that aims to provide returns that are three times the inverse (-3x) of the daily performance of the FTSE China 50 Index.
  • Direxion Daily CSI 300 China A Share Bull 2X Shares (Yahoo: CHAU; Google:NYSEARCA:CHAU) – A leveraged ETF that aims to provide returns that are twice (2x) the daily performance of the CSI 300 Index.
  • Direxion Daily CSI 300 China A Shares Bear 1X Shares (Yahoo: CHAD; Google:NYSEARCA:CHAD) – An inverse ETF that aims to provide returns that are the inverse (-1x) of the daily performance of the CSI 300 Index.

Other Notable Chinese Stock ETFs

The ETFs mentioned above are certainly not the only ways to invest in the Chinese market. There are a number of smaller ETFs that provide a more targeted investment, or track various other Chinese Indexes.

  • Guggenheim/Claymore/AlphaShares China Small Cap ETF (Yahoo: HAO; Google: NYSEARCA:HAO ) – An ETF that aims to provide returns equivalent to the performance of the equity index called the AlphaShares China Small Cap Index. This index tracks the performance of publicly-traded mainland China-based small capitalization companies who have a maximum $1.5 billion market capitalization.
  • PowerShares Golden Dragon China ETF (Yahoo: PGJ; Google: NYSEARCA:PGJ ) – An ETF that aims to provide returns equivalent to the performance of the NASDAQ Golden Dragon China Index/Halter USX China Index. This index is comprised of the United States-listed securities of companies that derive a majority of their revenue from the People’s Republic of China.
  • iShares MSCI China Small-Cap (Yahoo: ECNS; Google: NYSEARCA:ECNS ) – An ETF that aims to track the performance of the MSCI China Small Cap Index. This index is designed to measure the performance of equity securities in the bottom 14% by market capitalization of the Chinese equity securities markets.

The list of Indexes and ETFs above is certainly not an exhaustive list of the ways of investing in the Chinese market. The ETFdb.com website has an even longer list of ETFs that can help you find the right vehicle for your investment in the Chinese market.

Tracking Chinese Indexes and ETFs

To get yourself started tracking and doing follow up research on these indexes and ETFs, create a new Watchlist for them in StockMarketEye. Then download and import this CSV file that contains all of the ticker symbols for the Chinese Indexes and ETFs mentioned in this post. Or watch this video on how to import a CSV watchlist into StockMarketEye.

If you have other suggestions for indexes or ETFs that other investors would find useful, don’t hesitate to mention them in the comments.

Posted by admin | in Investing | No Comments »

StockMarketEye 3.3.11 Released

Friday, Jul. 24th 2015

We are proud to announce the release of StockMarketEye v3.3.11 for Mac OS X, Windows and Linux.

This release contains a few small updates to improve stability and compatibility.

Below is a complete list of the additions and changes in this version of StockMarketEye.

What’s New In StockMarketEye v3.3.11

Fixes

  • Fixed issue with symbols getting changed automatically.
  • Fixed issue with “LastTrade DateTime” column now being correct for non-NorthAmerican ticker symbols.
  • Fixed issue in QIF import when missing (null) symbol information was found in PSM generated QIF files.

This is a free update for those of you using StockMarketEye 3. If you are using StockMarketEye 3, we highly recommend that you upgrade to this version.

Haven’t yet updated to StockMarketEye 3? What better time than now!

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StockMarketEye 3.3.10 Released

Sunday, Apr. 12th 2015

We are proud to announce the release of StockMarketEye v3.3.10 for Mac OS X, Windows and Linux.

This release contains a few small improvements as well as bug fixes that improve stability and compatibility.

Below is a complete list of the additions and changes in this version of StockMarketEye.

What’s New In StockMarketEye v3.3.10

New and Updated

  • First Clearing, LLC brokerage added
  • Autobackups are now always enabled

Fixes

  • Fixed issue where costbasis calculation was off in Back-in-Time report if splits or RoC was involved.
  • Fixed issue with Shares outstanding in YahooFinance data.
  • Fixed issue importing QIF files where cash transactions were not correctly recognised.
  • Fixed issue with access to columns configuration menu on Mac.
  • Fixed issue in Gain/Loss report where totals were incorrect when exchRates were set to zero.

This is a free update for those of you using StockMarketEye 3. If you are using StockMarketEye 3, we highly recommend that you upgrade to this version.

Haven’t yet updated to StockMarketEye 3? What better time than now!

Posted by admin | in Releases | 4 Comments »

StockMarketEye v3.3.9 Released

Friday, Mar. 13th 2015

We are proud to announce the release of StockMarketEye v3.3.9 for Mac OS X, Windows and Linux.

This release contains a few small improvements as well as bug fixes that improve stability and compatibility.

Below is a complete list of the additions and changes in this version of StockMarketEye.

What’s New In StockMarketEye v3.3.9

New and Updated

  • NETXInvestor brokerage added
  • TIAA-CREF brokerage added
  • T. Rowe Price (Brokerage) broker fix
  • RBC Dain Rauscher broker fix

Fixes

  • Fixed incorrect YearlyDivVal and BuyValYield for LON and .L stocks
  • Fixed incorrect Income YTD when splits were involved.
  • QIF fixes for negative dividends (translated to FEES)
  • QIF import fixes for negative Cash transactions (translated to “other out”)
  • Fix for ALL range in transactions and gain/loss report to include future transactions
  • Fix for Dividend Date and Ex-Dividend Date columns for Yahoo Finance symbols

This is a free update for those of you using StockMarketEye 3. If you are using StockMarketEye 3, we highly recommend that you upgrade to this version.

Haven’t yet updated to StockMarketEye 3? What better time than now!

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StockMarketEye v3.3.8 Released

Saturday, Jan. 10th 2015

We are proud to announce the release of StockMarketEye v3.3.8 for Mac OS X, Windows and Linux.

This release contains a few small improvements as well as bug fixes that improve stability and compatibility.

Below is a complete list of the additions and changes in this version of StockMarketEye.

What’s New In StockMarketEye v3.3.8

New

  • New brokerages: PNC Bank, Wedbush and Raymond James (feedback on your experience with these brokerages in StockMarketEye is welcome).
  • Additional buttons to facilitate changing dates in the Back-in-Time report.
  • Allow restore of backup files in trial version.

Fixes

  • Fixed: Column widths are not saved after “fit column widths to contents” on Yosemite.
  • Fixed: Column order/widths not saved on Yosemite.
  • Fixed: 5-day charts with holidays have overlapping day labels for the holiday.
  • Fixed: 5-day chart cursor’s date part is off by timezone.
  • Fixed: Description field in Watchlist/Portfolio settings window does not expand or have scrollbars.
  • Fixed: Startup problem when used in Lima Peru timezone.
  • Fixed: The “Change” columns in Summary report’s closing portfolio do not print.
  • Other minor stability improvements.

This is a free update for those of you using StockMarketEye 3. If you are using StockMarketEye 3, we highly recommend that you upgrade to this version.

Haven’t yet updated to StockMarketEye 3? What better time than now!

Posted by admin | in Releases | No Comments »

[Updated] Yahoo Finance data feed not updating properly

Friday, Nov. 21st 2014

As some may already have noticed, the Yahoo Finance data quote feed is not updating properly since the close of trade on Wednesday November 19th. For many users the quotes are stuck, with the last trade from the close on Wednesday. Other users, however, are not experiencing any problems.

This leads us to believe that it is a regional issue. Users from some parts of the world, Western North America especially, are having problems. On the other hand, users from Europe and other parts of the world are not experiencing any problems.

Unfortunately, as much as we would like to fix it, there’s not much we can do at this point. The issue is with Yahoo Finance and their data feed that StockMarketEye uses. Typically Yahoo fixes these types of issues quickly, so I’m hopeful that they will get it resolved soon.

We will update this post when we know more. Leave a comment for us below letting us know if you are or are not affected by it and where you’re located.

[Update #1] Please add your vote to this “suggestion” for fixing the issue at Yahoo (the link goes directly to the Help section of the Yahoo Finance website). The more votes, the more attention it will get from them:

https://yahoo.uservoice.com/forums/207809-finance-gs/suggestions/6749809-excel-api-quotes-still-stuck-at-19-nov-please-fi

[Update #2 (2pm EST, November 21, 2014)] We’ve had a number of users tell us that it is working for them again. Seems all is back to normal. Thanks for your patience.

Posted by admin | in Uncategorized | 2 Comments »

StockMarketEye v3.3.7 Released

Monday, Nov. 17th 2014

We are proud to announce the release of StockMarketEye v3.3.7 for Mac OS X, Windows and Linux.

This is a small bug fix release that improves stability and compatibility.

Below is a complete list of the additions and changes in this version of StockMarketEye.

What’s New In StockMarketEye v3.3.7

Changes

  • New Column: “9M%” for watchlists and portfolios.
  • More tweaks for Mac OS X 10.10 Yosemite.
  • Fix for Sum Total chart using wrong exchange rate in some cases.
  • Fixed initial Chart scale menu selection.
  • Fixed Linux startup script to work with OpenJDK.

This is a free update for those of you using StockMarketEye 3. If you are using StockMarketEye 3, we highly recommend that you upgrade to this version.

Haven’t yet updated to StockMarketEye 3? What better time than now!

Posted by admin | in Releases | 3 Comments »

StockMarketEye for iOS v1.3.0 Released

Saturday, Nov. 15th 2014

We are proud to announce that a new version of StockMarketEye for iOS is now available on the App Store.

Version 1.3.0 sports the new iOS 7/8 flat look. It works the same as the previous version, but has a different look-and-feel to it. We think you’ll appreciate how it blends in with other iOS 7 applications. We’ve also added support for the new iPhone 6 and iPhone 6plus.

This version also improves the news article reading experience. The new version of StockMarketEye for iOS will open articles in Chrome or Safari, rather than using a built-in browser. We recommend installing Chrome (it’s free) as it makes returning to StockMarketEye when you’re done reading much easier.

You can now also choose which tab you’d like to start on. In the old version, you would always start on the Watchlists tab. Now you can choose between the Watchlists, Portfolios or Synchronization tab.

Below is a complete list of changes and fixes in this version of StockMarketEye for iOS v1.3.0.

What’s New In StockMarketEye for iOS v1.3.0

Changes

  • Updated look for iOS 7/8.
  • Support for iPhone 6 and 6plus.
  • Improved news reading experience by opening articles in Chrome (recommended) or Safari.
  • Added setting for selecting which tab to start on.
  • Fix for broken passcode protection on iOS 8.
  • Fix for money market fund pricing.
  • Fix crash when there was no previous close price available.
  • Fix for calculation of market value and gain when multiple currencies are involved.
  • Fixed minor issues with on-line sync to desktop app.
  • Fixed a freeze when refreshing portfolio totals.
  • Update to latest Appirater.
  • Note: This version of StockMarketEye for iOS is only available if you are using iOS 7 or later.

If you use StockMarketEye for iOS, please consider giving us a 5-star rating on the App Store. Good ratings help us stand out from the crowd, attract more customers and help support the continued development of StockMarketEye. (If you’re on a Mac or iOS device, you can use this direct link to write a review.)

Posted by admin | in ios, Releases | 6 Comments »

StockMarketEye v3.3.6 Released

Tuesday, Nov. 4th 2014

We are proud to announce the release of StockMarketEye v3.3.6 for Mac OS X, Windows and Linux.

This version includes new columns in the ending portfolio of the Summary report, minor improvements to on-line syncing, as well as small fixes for compatibility with Mac OS X 10.10 Yosemite.

Below is a complete list of the additions and changes in this version of StockMarketEye.

What’s New In StockMarketEye v3.3.6

Changes

  • The Summary report’s “Portfolio at close” now includes a “Gain” and “Gain %” columns.
  • New brokerage: American Century Brokerage and American Century Investments (please let us know if either of these work for you)./li>
  • New button, ‘Purge Unknown Symbols List’ in the Preferences’ Advanced tab which clears the unknown symbols list.

Fixes

  • Fixed: On-line sync does not transfer “Include a cash balance” and “Include in Portfolio Totals view” settings for a portfolio.
  • Fixed: Alerts configuration window doesn’t show alert on Mac OS X Yosemite.
  • Fixed: Charts for some Google ticker symbols not updating properly. If you have Google ticker symbols that don’t show a chart, use the new “Purge Unknown Symbols” list button in the Preferences’ Advanced tab.
  • Fixed: Technical indicator not working with incomplete data.

This is a free update for those of you using StockMarketEye 3. If you are using StockMarketEye 3, we highly recommend that you upgrade to this version.

Haven’t yet updated to StockMarketEye 3? What better time than now!

Posted by admin | in Releases | No Comments »

Compare Stock Charts to Make Better Stock Picks

Wednesday, Oct. 29th 2014

There are many variables involved when choosing the best investment. From fundamental data to technical analysis to on-line recommendations, each piece of information plays a part in your investment thesis.

Why Compare Stock Charts?

Once you have a set of stocks, ETFs, mutual funds or other securities that match your general investment thesis, using a stock comparison chart can give you valuable perspective. Charting all of your potential investments against each other improves your understanding of the individual investments and how they fit into the larger picture.

Comparison charts give you a strong, visual data point that you can use when ranking and choosing the investment that best fits your investment thesis.

A Technology Stocks Example

Let’s walk through just one way you might compare stock charts when choosing an investment.

Let’s say you’re interested in investing in the tech sector. There are lots of companies in this area to choose from. While doing your research (browsing investment websites, talking with colleagues, reading analyst recommendations, etc.), you’ve built up a special “Technology” Watchlist in StockMarketEye. This stock watchlist holds all of the tech stocks that have crossed your radar during your research and that seemed “investable”.

You may have come across other tech stocks, but for one reason or another, they didn’t make it into this curated list. (Although keeping a separate watchlist for the technology stocks that didn’t make your curated list is also possible as StockMarketEye does not restrict how many watchlists you can have, nor the number of stocks you can have in each watchlists.)

In StockMarketEye, this watchlist may look something like this:

A Technology Stocks Watchlist

You have also identified who the “big name” players in the industry are and placed them at the top of your watchlist. For our discussion, those “big name” technology players are:

  • Apple Inc. (AAPL)
  • Google Inc. (GOOGL)
  • Yahoo! Inc. (YHOO)
  • Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)
  • Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN)

Adding Comparison Symbols to the Chart

To compare the stock charts of these potential investments, you add them as comparison symbols to the chart. There are multiple ways of adding comparison symbols.

The first way allows you to add each symbol individually using the chart menu, Chart Options -> Compare to… In the “Add Comparison Symbol” enter the ticker symbol to use for comparison in the field (you can type the symbol you want to add directly into the field, or use the drop-down selector to choose one of the indexes listed), then click OK to add it to the chart.

Adding a single comparison symbol

Alternatively, if you have more than one symbol you want to compare against, you can select all of them in the watchlist, then use the menu: Watchlist -> Add to Chart as Comparison Symbol. Note that this menu is also available by right-clicking (Ctrl-Click on Mac) on the watchlist.

Adding multiple comparison symbols at one time

Afterwards, your chart will look something like the following:

Stock chart comparing 5 stocks

The chart of each stock starts at 0 on the left side of the chart. The y-axis shows the relative performance (in percent) of each stock since the first day of the chart. As you can see, over the last 6 months, AAPL has out-performed the others with YHOO a close second.

Comparing Other Stocks

But how do some of the other stocks compare to these big 5?

Clicking on one of the other stocks, such as FB, shows it as the main symbol in the chart. As you can see, over the last 6 months, Facebook’s stock (the dark blue line) has outperformed the stocks of the other “big 5”.

Comparison stock chart of Facebook (FB) vs other major technology stocks

However, selecting P shows that Pandora (the dark blue line) has under performed even AMZN, being down close to 20% over the last 6 months.

Comparison stock chart of Pandora Media, Inc. (P) vs other major technology stocks

Selecting IBM (the dark blue line) shows a similar chart for “big blue”, down more than 15% over the last 6 months.

Comparison stock chart of International Business Machines (IBM) vs other major technology stocks

What do comparison stock charts tell me?

IBM is down more than 15% over the last 6 months, but does that mean it is a buying opportunity or should it be avoided? Facebook is up almost 30% in the last 6 months, but does that mean it is too expensive or does it still have room to run?

Unfortunately, chart comparison alone can’t answer those questions. To make sense of the charts, you need to understand the background (earnings, economic factors, etc.) behind the recent performance.

Comparing the charts can help you to quickly identify the stocks that meet some aspect of your investment thesis. But you’ll most likely want to supplement that information with a deeper understanding of the specifics of the particular stocks you’re interested in.

Conclusion

Picking the right stocks to invest in is part art and part science. The science part focuses on the research into the fundamentals and technicals of the stocks, ETFs, mutual funds or other securities involved. The art part is your investing thesis and culminates in the final selection using information from your research. An integral part of that selection process is to compare stock charts, helping you to rank and differentiate based on your investment thesis.

If you’d like to add this technology watchlist to your StockMarketEye, you can download it as a CSV file here. Then watch this video for how you can import the watchlist into StockMarketEye. If you’re not already a StockMarketEye user, you can try it for free for 30-days, no strings attached.

(Full disclosure: I own shares of the following stocks mentioned in this post: AAPL, GOOGL, YHOO, MSFT, AMZN, P and FB.)

Posted by admin | in Investing | No Comments »

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